Even if the UK allows new casinos to be built under a pending overhaul
of the nation's gambling rules, they might not open until at least 2008
and be restricted to remote or downtrodden areas where U.S. casino
operators wouldn't want to develop, one consultant told a group of U.S.
investors last week.
"There are areas in need of regeneration around the country. The trouble
for operators is that these aren't really places you want to go," said
Steve Donoughue, chief executive officer of The Gambling Consultancy
Ltd. and a former gambling analyst for accounting firm KPMG in the
United Kingdom.
Donoughue, who has advised U.K. gambling regulators, spoke to investors
during a conference call hosted by investment bank Bear, Stearns & Co.,
which does business with casino operators hoping to capitalize on the
deregulation of gambling in Britain.

Donoughue, who has advised U.K. gambling regulators, spoke to investors
during a conference call hosted by investment bank Bear, Stearns & Co.,
which does business with casino operators hoping to capitalize on the
deregulation of gambling in Britain.
Casino operators probably wouldn't be able to apply for licenses until
2006 or 2007 after an independent government panel determines which
areas will be appropriate for casino development, he said.
U.S. casino operators including Las Vegas-based MGM Mirage, Las Vegas
Sands Corp., Harrah's Entertainment Inc. and Ameristar Casinos Inc. have
designs on bringing Las Vegas-style resorts to the United Kingdom.
Some British casino operators have opposed the bill, saying it will
favor Las Vegas and other foreign investors with deep pockets and hurt
their businesses. Concerns about problem gambling have forced lawmakers
to severely limit the number of small, large and resort destination
casinos to eight each.
The pullback -- which killed early, optimistic projections of as many as
100 new casinos and 100,000 slot machines -- led Harrah's to pull out of
a deal to build smaller casinos with British bingo hall operator Gala
Group Ltd. Harrah's is still considering building larger resorts.
Even more important, casino companies face significant hurdles in the
approval process because they must be licensed by local officials as
well as by national gambling regulators, Donoughue said.
"The impact of the local authorities is going to be huge and we are
dealing with the people who know the least about gaming and also
probably have the most prejudices against gaming," he said. "It's going
to be a hell of an uphill struggle."
In a flurry of deals announced over the past couple of years, U.S.
companies have linked up with British partners to develop casino sites
across the United Kingdom. They include MGM Mirage's project at the the
Millennium Dome attraction in London and Caesars Entertainment Inc.'s
deal at Wembley Stadium, also in London.
Ameristar has signed an agreement to build a casino with an arena and
entertainment center in the city of Southampton and the Sands has
discussed several deals with soccer teams for casinos near team
stadiums, including the home grounds of the Glasgow Rangers and
Sheffield United. MGM Mirage also is looking at developments in Bristol,
Sheffield and Newcastle, where the company has an agreement with the
Newcastle United soccer team.
London may allow up to two casino sites, led by the Millennium Dome and
Wembley Stadium proposals, Donoughue said. But the locations of many
other potential casinos proposed by U.S. operators will likely be "dead
in the water" because they aren't located in economically depressed
cities -- a significant factor in the legalization of new casinos.
"There will be a big chunk of (allowed regions) that only the very
bravest will go to," he said. In addition, Donoughue called the deals
with soccer teams "ridiculous" and said British "football fans" -- as
well as the families the teams have been trying to lure to games in
recent years -- don't necessarily make good casino customers.
"U.K. football fans, for a large majority of places, are escorted to the
grounds by riot police, helicopters, police with dogs, police with full
riot gear," he said. "It is traditional that the fans go to the pub
first and drink as much as they possibly can. It is also traditional
that after the match they go and have a punch up with the away fans
therefore the police remove the away fans. So home fans will be made to
sit in the football grounds sometimes for up to an hour while the away
fans are escorted onto trains and coaches and make sure they get out of
the city."
"Even in well-behaved clubs you still have the issue that in order to
get rid of the hooliganism they've gone for families," he said.
"Families are not going to go to the casino and drunken hooligans are
not going to be allowed in the casino."
Soccer stadiums are filled about twenty times a year but not regularly
enough to support a year-round resort operation, Donoughue said. Many of
the proposals at stadiums probably won't get passed in any case because
they're not economically depressed, he said.
Skyrocketing salaries for soccer stars are hurting team profit and
leading them to seek all kinds of deals, he said. "You could have gone
in there and offered them a magic bean shop and they would have bitten
your arm off.
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